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Heuristics and biases the psychology of intuitive judgement

Thomas Gilovich; Dale W Griffin; Daniel Kahneman 1934-

Cambridge, U.K Cambridge University Press New York 2002

Localização: FD - Fac. Direito    (159.955.5(082) H523 DFD ) e outros locais(Acessar)

  • Título:
    Heuristics and biases the psychology of intuitive judgement
  • Autor: Thomas Gilovich; Dale W Griffin; Daniel Kahneman 1934-
  • Assuntos: JULGAMENTO; PENSAMENTO CRÍTICO; RACIOCÍNIO
  • Notas: Includes bibliographical references (p. 763-853) and index
  • Descrição: Introduction - Heuristics and Biases: Then and Now / Thomas Gilovich and Dale Griffin -- Extensional versus Intuitive Reasoning: The Conjunction Fallacy in Probability Judgment /Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman -- how Alike Is It? versus How Likeely Is It?: A DisiunctionFallacy in Probality Judgments / Maya bar-Hillel and Efrat Neter -- Imagining Can Heighten or Lower the Perceived Likelihood of Contracting a Disease: The Mediating Effect of Ease of Imagery / Steven J. Sherman, Robert B. Cialdini, Donna F. Schwartzman, and Kim D. Reynolds -- The Availability Heuristic Revisited: Ease of Recall and Content of Recall as Distinct Sources of Information / Norbert Schwarz and Leigh Ann Vaughn Anchoring, Contamination, and Compatibility -- Incorporating the Irrelevant: Anchors in Judgments of Belief and Value / Gretchen B. Chapman and Eric J. Johnson -- Putting Adjustment Black in the Anchoring and Adjustment Heuristic / Nicholas Epley and Thomas Gilovich -- Self-Anchoring in Conversation: Why Language Users Do Not Do What They "Should" / Boaz Keysar and Dale J. Barr -- Inferential Correction / Daniel T. Gilbert -- Mental Contamination and the Debiasing Problem / Timothy D. Wilson, David B. Centerbar, and Nancy Brekke -- Sympathetic Magical Thinking: The Contagion and Similarity "Heuristics" / Paul Rozin and Carol Nemeroff -- Comatibility Effects in Judgment and Choice / Paul Slovic, Dale Griffin, and Amos Tversky Forecasting, Confidence, and Calibration -- The Weighing of evidence and the Determinants of Confidence / Dale Griffin and Amos Tversky -- Inside the Planning Fallacy: The Causes and Consequences of Optimistic Time Predictions / Roger Buehler, Dale Griffin, and Michael Ross -- Probability Judgment across Cultures / J. Frank Yates, Ju-Whei Lee, Winston R. Sieck, Incheol Choi, and Paul C. Price -- Durability Bias in Affective Forecasting / Daniel T. Gilbert, Elizabeth C. Pinel, Timothy D. Wilson, Stephen J. Blumberg, and Thalia P. Wheatley Optimism --
    Resistance of Personal Risk Perceptions to Debiasing Interventions / Neil D. Weinstein and William M. Klein -- Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability / David Dunning, Judith A. Meyerowitz, and Amy D. Holzberg -- When Predictions Fail: The Dilemma of Unrealistic Optimism / David A. Armor and Shelley E. Taylor Norms and Counterfactuals -- Norm Theory: Comparting Reality to Its Alternatives / Daniel Kahneman and Dale T. Miller -- Counterfactual Thought, Regret, and Superstition: How to Avoid Kicking Yourself / Dale T. Miller and Brian R. Taylor -- Part Two. New Theoretical Directions -- Two Systems of Reasoning / Steven A. Sloman -- The Affect Heuristic / Paul Slovic, Melissa Finucane, Ellen Peters, and Donald G. MacGregor -- Individual Differences in Reasoning: Implications for the Rationality Debate? / Keith E. Stanovich and Richard F. West support Theory -- Supprt Theory: A Nonextensional Representation of Subjective Probability / Amos Tversky and Derek J. Koehler -- Unpacking, Repacking, and Anchoring: Advances in Support Theory / Yuval Rottenstreich and Tversky -- Remarks on Support Theory: Recent Advances and Future Directions / Lyle A. Brenner, Derek J. Koehler, and Yuval Rottenstreich alternative Perspectives on Heuristics -- The Use of Statistical Heuristics in Everyday Inductive Reasoning / Richard E. Nisbett, David H. Krantz, Christopher Jepson, and Ziva Kunda -- Feelings as Information: Moods Influence Judgaments and Processing Strategies / Norbert Schwarz -- automated Choice Heuristics / Shane Frederick -- How Good Are Fast and Frugal Heuristics? / Gerd Gigerenzer, Jean Czerlinski, and Laura Martignon -- Intuitive Politicians, Theologians, and Prosecutors:Exploring the Empirical Implications of Deviant Functionalist Metaphors /Philip E. Tetlock --
    Part Three. Real-World Applications / Everday Judgment and Behavior -- The Hot Hand in Basketball: On the Misperception of Random Sequences / tomas Gilovich, Robert Vallone, and Amos Tversky -- Like Goes with Like: The Role of Representativeness in Erroneous and Pseudo-Scientific Beliefs / Thomas Gilovich and Kenneth Savitsky -- When Less Is More: Counterfactual Thinking and Satisfaction among Olympic Medalists / Victoria Husted Medey, Thomas Gilovich -- Understanding Misunderstanding: Social Psychological Perspectives / Emily Pronin, Carolyn Puccio, and Lee Ross Expert Judgment -- Assessing Uncertainty in Physical Constants / Max Henrion and Baruch Fischhoff -- Do Analysts Overreact? / Werner F.M. De Bondt and Richard H. Thaler -- The Calibration of Expert Judgment: Heuristics and Biases Beyond the Laboratory / Derek J. Koehler, Lyle Brenner, and Dale Griffin -- Clinical versus Actuarial Judgment / Robyn M. Dawes, David Faust, and Paul E. Meehl -- Heuristics and Biases in Application / Baruch Fischhoff -- Theory-Driven Reasoning about Plausible Pasts and Probable Futures in World Politics / Philip E. Tetlock
  • Editor: Cambridge, U.K Cambridge University Press New York
  • Data de criação/publicação: 2002
  • Formato: xvi, 857 p ill., charts 24 cm.
  • Idioma: Inglês
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