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The only game in town central banks, instability, and avoiding the next collapse
Mohamed A El-Erian 1958- author
New York Random House 2016
Localização:
FEA - Fac. Econ. Adm. Contab. e Atuária
ACERVO DELFIM NETTO
(B24.23.29 )
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Título:
The only game in town central banks, instability, and avoiding the next collapse
Autor:
Mohamed A El-Erian 1958- author
Assuntos:
Banks and banking, Central
;
Monetary policy
;
Economic policy
;
BANCOS
;
POLÍTICA MONETÁRIA
;
POLÍTICA ECONÔMICA
Notas:
Includes bibliographical references (pages 267-284) and index.
Descrição:
The why, how, and what of this book. Setting the stage -- The only game in town -- Central banks' communication challenge -- How and why this book is organized -- Context: the rise, collapse, and resurrection of central banking. The golden age of central banks and "bubblish finance": a brief historical perspective -- Cascading failures -- Central bank resurrection: durable or a dead cat bounce? -- From the what to the so what. Setting the stage: the ten big challenges -- The quest of a generation: sustaining inclusive growth -- Reducing the risk of the unemployed becoming unemployable -- The inequality trifecta -- The persistent trust deficit -- National political dysfunction -- The "G-O": slide into the "international economic non-system" -- The migration and morphing of financial risk -- The liquidity delusion -- Bridging the gap between markets and fundamentals -- It is hard to be a good house in a challenged neighborhood -- The desirable way forward. Addressing the ten big challenges: dealing with willing central banks that lack sufficient tools -- The reduced-form approach to a grand policy design -- From what should happen to what is likely to happen. When desirable and feasible differ -- Turning paralyzing complexity into actionable simplicity -- The belly of the distribution of potential outcomes -- A world of greater divergence(I): multi-speed growth -- A world of greater divergence (II): multi-track central banks -- A world of greater divergence (III): non-economic, non-policy headwinds -- A world of greater divergence (IV): disruptive innovation goes macro -- Putting it all together -- The keys to navigating a bimodal distribution. What history tells us -- Recognizing blind spots and overcoming biases -- Advancing and enhancing cognitive diversity -- Translating awareness into optionality, resilience, and agility -- The power of scenario analyses -- Valuing liquidity and optionality -- Bringing it all together. In sum
"Dr. Mohamed A. El-Erian, one of the world's most influential economic thinkers and the New York Times and Wall Street Journal bestselling author of When Markets Collide, has written a roadmap to what lies ahead and the decisions we must make now to stave off the next global economic and financial crisis. Our current economic path is coming to an end. The signposts are all around us: sluggish growth, rising inequality, stubbornly high pockets of unemployment, and jittery financial markets, to name a few. Soon we will reach a fork in the road: One path leads to renewed growth, prosperity, and financial stability, the other to recession and market disorder. In The Only Game in Town, El-Erian casts his gaze toward the future of the global economy and markets, outlining the choices we face both individually and collectively in an era of economic uncertainty and financial insecurity. Beginning with their response to the 2008 global crisis, El-Erian explains how and why our central banks became the critical policy actors--and, most important, why they cannot continue is this role alone. They saved the financial system from collapse in 2008 and a multiyear economic depression, but lack the tools to enable a return to high inclusive growth and durable financial stability. The time has come for a policy handoff, from a prolonged period of monetary policy experimentation to a strategy that better targets what ails economies and distorts the financial sector--before we stumble into another crisis. The future, critically, is not predestined. It is up to us to decide where we will go from here as households, investors, companies, and governments. Using a mix of insights from economics, finance, and behavioral science, this book gives us the tools we need to properly understand this turning point, prepare for it, and come out of it stronger. A comprehensive, controversial look at the realities of our global economy and markets, The Only Game in Town is required readin
"Our current economic path is coming to an end. Where we go when we reach this inflection point - toward renewed growth and prosperity, or toward increased malaise and financial chaos - is not pre-destined. It is up to us; to our assessment of the situation and our actions, both as individuals and collectively. Now El-Erian, one of the most influential and highly regarded thinkers in the world, provides us with a diagnosis and roadmap to understanding where we are today, how and why our central banks have become the essential actors in the current global economy, but cannot remain so, and where we can - indeed, should and must - go from here as individual investors, households, economies, societies, and governments"--
Editor:
New York Random House
Data de criação/publicação:
2016
Formato:
xxi, 296 pages 25 cm.
Idioma:
Inglês
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