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Climate change, wine, and conservation

Hannah, Lee ; Roehrdanz, Patrick R. ; Ikegami, Makihiko ; Shepard, Anderson V. ; Shaw, M. Rebecca ; Tabor, Gary ; Zhi, Lu ; Marquet, Pablo A. ; Hijmans, Robert J.

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS, 2013-04, Vol.110 (17), p.6907-6912 [Periódico revisado por pares]

Washington, DC: National Academy of Sciences

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Título:
Climate change, wine, and conservation
Autor: Hannah, Lee ; Roehrdanz, Patrick R. ; Ikegami, Makihiko ; Shepard, Anderson V. ; Shaw, M. Rebecca ; Tabor, Gary ; Zhi, Lu ; Marquet, Pablo A. ; Hijmans, Robert J.
Assuntos: Agricultural production ; Agriculture - statistics & numerical data ; Animal and plant ecology ; Animal, plant and microbial ecology ; Aquatic ecosystems ; Biodiversity conservation ; Biological and medical sciences ; Biological Sciences ; Climate Change ; Climate change adaptation ; Climate models ; Climatology. Bioclimatology. Climate change ; Conservation ; Conservation of Natural Resources - methods ; Earth, ocean, space ; Ecosystem ; Environmental conservation ; Environmental impact ; Exact sciences and technology ; External geophysics ; Fermented food industries ; Food industries ; Fresh Water - analysis ; Fundamental and applied biological sciences. Psychology ; General aspects ; Global climate models ; Habitat conservation ; Land use ; Mediterranean Region ; Meteorology ; Models, Biological ; Synecology ; Vineyards ; Viticulture ; Vitis - growth & development ; Wine - statistics & numerical data ; Wines ; Wines and vinegars
É parte de: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS, 2013-04, Vol.110 (17), p.6907-6912
Notas: Author contributions: L.H., P.R.R., M.I., A.V.S., and M.R.S. designed research; L.H., P.R.R., M.I., A.V.S., P.A.M., and R.J.H. performed research; P.R.R., M.I., and R.J.H. contributed a new analytic tool; L.H., P.R.R., M.I., A.V.S., M.R.S., P.A.M., and R.J.H. analyzed data; and L.H., P.R.R., M.I., A.V.S., M.R.S., G.T., L.Z., P.A.M., and R.J.H. wrote the paper.
Edited by Robert E. Dickinson, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, and approved February 19, 2013 (received for review June 21, 2012)
2Present address: Defenders of Wildlife, Washington, DC 20036.
Descrição: Climate change is expected to impact ecosystems directly, such as through shifting climatic controls on species ranges, and indirectly, for example through changes in human land use that may result in habitat loss. Shifting patterns of agricultural production in response to climate change have received little attention as a potential impact pathway for ecosystems. Wine grape production provides a good test case for measuring indirect impacts mediated by changes in agriculture, because viticulture is sensitive to climate and is concentrated in Mediterranean climate regions that are global biodiversity hotspots. Here we demonstrate that, on a global scale, the impacts of climate change on viticultural suitability are substantial, leading to possible conservation conflicts in land use and freshwater ecosystems. Area suitable for viticulture decreases 25% to 73% in major wine producing regions by 2050 in the higher RCP 8.5 concentration pathway and 19% to 62% in the lower RCP 4.5. Climate change may cause establishment of vineyards at higher elevations that will increase impacts on upland ecosystems and may lead to conversion of natural vegetation as production shifts to higher latitudes in areas such as western North America. Attempts to maintain wine grape productivity and quality in the face of warming may be associated with increased water use for irrigation and to cool grapes through misting or sprinkling, creating potential for freshwater conservation impacts. Agricultural adaptation and conservation efforts are needed that anticipate these multiple possible indirect effects.
Editor: Washington, DC: National Academy of Sciences
Idioma: Inglês

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Climate change, wine, and conservation

Hannah, Lee ; Roehrdanz, Patrick R. ; Ikegami, Makihiko ; Shepard, Anderson V. ; Shaw, M. Rebecca ; Tabor, Gary ; Zhi, Lu ; Marquet, Pablo A. ; Hijmans, Robert J.

Washington, DC: National Academy of Sciences

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