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Aid Under Fire: Development Projects and Civil Conflict

Crost, Benjamin ; Felter, Joseph ; Johnston, Patrick

The American economic review, 2014-06, Vol.104 (6), p.1833-1856 [Periódico revisado por pares]

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Título:
Aid Under Fire: Development Projects and Civil Conflict
Autor: Crost, Benjamin ; Felter, Joseph ; Johnston, Patrick
Assuntos: Aid ; Arbitrage ; Armed conflict ; Casualties ; Civil war ; Civil wars ; Conflict ; Control variables ; Development banks ; Economic development ; Insurgency ; Linear regression ; Philippines ; Political conflict ; Poverty ; Poverty alleviation ; Project management ; Regression analysis ; Running ; Shorter Papers ; Studies ; Violence ; World Bank
É parte de: The American economic review, 2014-06, Vol.104 (6), p.1833-1856
Notas: ObjectType-Article-2
SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1
ObjectType-Feature-1
content type line 23
Descrição: We estimate the causal effect of a large development program on conflict in the Philippines through a regression discontinuity design that exploits an arbitrary poverty threshold used to assign eligibility for the program. We find that barely eligible municipalities experienced a large increase in conflict casualties compared to barely ineligible ones. This increase is mostly due to insurgent-initiated incidents in the early stages of program preparation. Our results are consistent with the hypothesis that insurgents try to sabotage the program because its success would weaken their support in the population.
Editor: Nashville: American Economic Association
Idioma: Inglês

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