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Negating the Democratic Party Advantage in Open Seat Elections—A Research Update

Gaddie, Ronald Keith

Social science quarterly, 1995-09, Vol.76 (3), p.673-680 [Periódico revisado por pares]

Austin, Tex: University of Texas Press

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  • Título:
    Negating the Democratic Party Advantage in Open Seat Elections—A Research Update
  • Autor: Gaddie, Ronald Keith
  • Assuntos: Advantages ; Congressional elections ; Constituents ; Democratic parties ; Democratic Party ; Elections ; Electoral behaviour ; Electoral results ; Incumbents ; Political campaigns ; Political candidates ; Political parties ; Redistricting ; Research Notes ; Spending ; United States ; USA ; Voter behavior ; Voter registration ; Voting
  • É parte de: Social science quarterly, 1995-09, Vol.76 (3), p.673-680
  • Notas: ObjectType-Article-2
    SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1
    ObjectType-Feature-1
    content type line 23
    ObjectType-Article-1
    ObjectType-Feature-2
  • Descrição: Objective. In an earlier paper in this journal the author argued that Republican prospects for electoral success in the House of Representatives rested on fielding politically experienced candidates, negating Democratic party advantages in spending, and taking advantage of the opportunities created in the South due to affirmative action redistricting. Methods. This study examines the role of open seats in forging the Republican majority in 1994. The 1994 open seat congressional elections are examined at the district level to determine how Republican open seat performance improved, compared to the previous decade, and how GOP improvement related to Republican gains. Results. GOP success in open seats occurred under conditions similar to those indicated by previous research, with one significant exception: the South. This analysis indicates that the Democratic party advantage was negated by a strong backlash vote against professional Democratic politicians in that region, and by changes in district demographics during the previous redistricting. Conclusions. The new Republican majority rested in part on the change in GOP fortunes in open seats, especially in the South. Redistricting, changing white voter allegiances, and a change in the relationship between candidate experience and voter expectations were also related to GOP success.
  • Editor: Austin, Tex: University of Texas Press
  • Idioma: Inglês
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  • Realização: ABCD-USP USP   Logos de Redes Sociais: Freepik

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