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Do Political Parties Shape or Follow Political Preferences? A Panel Analysis on the Rise of the Nationalist Party in Flanders (Belgium), 2006-2011

Boonen, Joris ; Hooghe, Marc

Leuven 2012

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  • Título:
    Do Political Parties Shape or Follow Political Preferences? A Panel Analysis on the Rise of the Nationalist Party in Flanders (Belgium), 2006-2011
  • Autor: Boonen, Joris ; Hooghe, Marc
  • Assuntos: Belgium ; ideology ; nationalism ; panel research ; party identity ; political parties
  • Notas: Dutch-Belgian Political Science Conference location:Amsterdam date:31 May - 1 Jun 2012
  • Descrição: There is a strong and continuing debate in the recent literature about the causal order in the relation between ideological preferences and party choice. While proponents of the party identity model claim that political parties shape the outline of ideological preferences, other authors have argued that political parties mainly express pre-existing attitudes among their voters. In this article we examine the steep and unprecedented rise of the Flemish Nationalist party in Belgium, which succeeded in gaining almost 30 per cent of the vote in a couple of years. During this period, a panel survey among 3,000 late adolescents and young adults was conducted. Our analyses suggest that the support for Flemish Nationalism is more successful in explaining a subsequent vote for the Nationalist party than vice versa. While the relation between party choice and ideological preferences most likely is reciprocal, the current analysis strongly suggests that new political parties can establish themselves more successfully if they can address a pre-existing reservoir of potential voters with matching ideological preferences. status: published
  • Editor: Leuven
  • Data de criação/publicação: 2012
  • Idioma: Inglês
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  • Realização: ABCD-USP USP   Logos de Redes Sociais: Freepik

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