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The Justinianic Plague: An inconsequential pandemic?

Mordechai, Lee ; Eisenberg, Merle ; Newfield, Timothy P. ; Izdebski, Adam ; Kay, Janet E. ; Poinar, Hendrik

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS, 2019-12, Vol.116 (51), p.25546-25554 [Periódico revisado por pares]

United States: National Academy of Sciences

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  • Título:
    The Justinianic Plague: An inconsequential pandemic?
  • Autor: Mordechai, Lee ; Eisenberg, Merle ; Newfield, Timothy P. ; Izdebski, Adam ; Kay, Janet E. ; Poinar, Hendrik
  • Assuntos: Archaeology ; Byzantium ; Datasets ; Demographics ; Deoxyribonucleic acid ; DNA ; History, Medieval ; Humans ; Legislation ; Middle Ages ; Mortality ; Pandemics ; Pandemics - history ; Plague ; Plague - history ; PNAS Plus ; Pollen ; Population Dynamics - history ; Social Sciences ; Yersinia pestis
  • É parte de: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS, 2019-12, Vol.116 (51), p.25546-25554
  • Notas: ObjectType-Article-1
    SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1
    ObjectType-Feature-2
    content type line 23
    Author contributions: L.M. and M.E. conceived of the project; L.M. and M.E. designed research; L.M. produced the visualizations; L.M., M.E., T.P.N., A.I., and J.E.K. performed research; L.M. analyzed data; and L.M., M.E., T.P.N., A.I., J.E.K., and H.P. wrote the paper.
    Edited by Noel Lenski, Yale University, New Haven, CT, and accepted by Editorial Board Member Elsa M. Redmond October 7, 2019 (received for review March 4, 2019)
  • Descrição: Existing mortality estimates assert that the Justinianic Plague (circa 541 to 750 CE) caused tens of millions of deaths throughout the Mediterranean world and Europe, helping to end antiquity and start the Middle Ages. In this article, we argue that this paradigm does not fit the evidence. We examine a series of independent quantitative and qualitative datasets that are directly or indirectly linked to demographic and economic trends during this two-century period: Written sources, legislation, coinage, papyri, inscriptions, pollen, ancient DNA, and mortuary archaeology. Individually or together, they fail to support the maximalist paradigm: None has a clear independent link to plague outbreaks and none supports maximalist reconstructions of late antique plague. Instead of large-scale, disruptive mortality, when contextualized and examined together, the datasets suggest continuity across the plague period. Although demographic, economic, and political changes continued between the 6th and 8th centuries, the evidence does not support the now commonplace claim that the Justinianic Plague was a primary causal factor of them.
  • Editor: United States: National Academy of Sciences
  • Idioma: Inglês
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  • Realização: ABCD-USP USP   Logos de Redes Sociais: Freepik

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